Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.012739 0.015603 0.019261 0.024405 0.031678 0.041977 0.058452
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.008942 0.011889 0.016149 0.023126 0.035117 0.056944 0.106481
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007259 0.010165 0.014720 0.023021 0.039587 0.077020 0.199025
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006328 0.009234 0.014099 0.023812 0.046055 0.108824 0.432278
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005568 0.008375 0.013315 0.023913 0.051148 0.145716 0.991464
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004852 0.007447 0.012165 0.022802 0.052516 0.174169 2.118854
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004356 0.006812 0.011422 0.022332 0.055519 0.218724 6.815894
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004110 0.006583 0.011416 0.023610 0.065358 0.338612 456.199089
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003963 0.006509 0.011706 0.025781 0.081190 0.622333 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003824 0.006427 0.011958 0.027990 0.100875 1.293020 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003577 0.006094 0.011574 0.028137 0.110876 2.179958 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003359 0.005792 0.011207 0.028220 0.121312 4.005813 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003015 0.005224 0.010184 0.026016 0.116022 4.976938 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002745 0.004789 0.009432 0.024589 0.115639 7.708735 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002568 0.004529 0.009076 0.024474 0.126205 23.944163 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002451 0.004385 0.008984 0.025335 0.148729 896.660691 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002318 0.004190 0.008726 0.025446 0.165551 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002156 0.003911 0.008198 0.024235 0.164664 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002032 0.003711 0.007857 0.023724 0.172871 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001978 0.003662 0.007928 0.025116 0.216301 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001951 0.003671 0.008167 0.027485 0.298605 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001921 0.003670 0.008377 0.029903 0.419509 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001843 0.003545 0.008189 0.030064 0.481883 NaN NaN